Al Thanyah Third: home prices, rents and trend

Data as of 13 Oct 2026. Sources: DLD — Real Estate Transactions (data.dubai open data); DLD — Rent Contracts / Ejari (data.dubai open data); DLD — Building and Property Project Records (data.dubai open data). Not endorsed by the DLD or the Government of Dubai. Not a valuation. How we calculate.

Ready sales, 12 months
36
Off-plan sales, 12 months
1
New rents (Ejari), 12 months
148
Home types priced
3 of 9

Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover Al Thanyah Third send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.

At a glance

Home typeTypical priceRent a year
1BR apartment Abstain
5 ready sales
AED 110k – 144k
34 new leases
2BR apartment AED 2.75M – 3.31M
9 ready sales
AED 160k – 205k
45 new leases
3BR apartment AED 4.95M – 5.56M
8 ready sales
AED 222k – 280k
30 new leases
4BR apartment Abstain
2 ready sales
—
1 new lease
3BR villa or townhouse AED 6.37M – 7.67M
12 ready sales
AED 264k – 322k
32 new leases

Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.

By home type

1BR apartment

No price range. Only 5 registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.

Rent: AED 110k – 144k a year, median AED 124k (34 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

Recent registered sales (8)
DateBuildingSq ftPrice, AED
19 May 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills879 1,600,000
2 Feb 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills879 2,200,000
29 Dec 2025
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills955 1,800,000
28 Nov 2025
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills879 2,150,000
16 Oct 2025
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills878 1,900,000
9 Oct 2025
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills879 1,900,000
12 Jun 2025
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills882 1,830,000
21 Apr 2025
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills879 2,028,000

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

2BR apartment · ≈1,280 sqft

Typical price
AED 2.75M – 3.31M
Median
AED 2.9M
Ready sales, 12 months
9
Size (median)
1,284 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 2,031

Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 9 registered ready sales in the last 12 months. 1 off-plan sale was counted but not priced.

Rent: AED 160k – 205k a year, median AED 175k (45 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

12-month outlook

Central case 0.0% on today's median. Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: simple median of the last 12 months (the trend model did not beat it in the backtest); p10/p90 from backtest errors.

Recent registered sales (8: 7 ready, 1 off-plan)
DateBuildingSq ftPrice, AED
17 Jun 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills1,268 2,850,000
6 May 2026
Off-plan
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills1,646 2,914,888
14 Apr 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills1,284 3,315,000
27 Feb 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills1,785 3,450,000
26 Feb 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills1,443 2,900,000
23 Feb 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills1,268 2,650,000
10 Feb 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills1,284 2,750,000
4 Dec 2025
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills1,440 2,925,000

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

3BR apartment · ≈1,780 sqft

Typical price
AED 4.95M – 5.56M
Median
AED 5.45M
Ready sales, 12 months
8
Size (median)
1,783 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 2,902

Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 8 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.

Rent: AED 222k – 280k a year, median AED 245k (30 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

12-month outlook

Central case 0.0% on today's median. Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: simple median of the last 12 months (the trend model did not beat it in the backtest); p10/p90 from backtest errors.

Recent registered sales (8)
DateBuildingSq ftPrice, AED
30 Jul 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills1,784 5,750,000
14 May 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills1,784 5,500,000
1 May 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills1,782 4,250,000
23 Apr 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills2,175 6,400,000
16 Mar 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills1,782 4,500,000
20 Jan 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills1,779 5,500,000
10 Nov 2025
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills1,782 5,100,000
21 Oct 2025
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills2,060 5,400,000

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

4BR apartment

No price range. Only 2 registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.

Rent: Only 1 new Ejari contract in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.

Recent registered sales (3)
DateBuildingSq ftPrice, AED
2 Mar 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills3,204 11,100,000
26 Feb 2026
Ready
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills3,201 11,000,000
28 Aug 2025
Ready
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills3,204 8,000,000

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

3BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,710 sqft

Typical price
AED 6.37M – 7.67M
Median
AED 6.7M
Ready sales, 12 months
12
Plot (median)
2,830 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,711 sq ft

Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 12 registered ready sales in the last 12 months. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.

Rent: AED 264k – 322k a year, median AED 302k (32 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

12-month outlook

Central case 0.0% on today's median. Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: simple median of the last 12 months (the trend model did not beat it in the backtest); p10/p90 from backtest errors.

Recent registered sales (8)
DatePlot, sq ftBuilt-up, sq ftPrice, AED
17 Sep 2026
Ready
2,6042,556 6,400,000
20 Aug 2026
Ready
2,5863,045 6,450,000
17 Aug 2026
Ready
4,156— 12,000,000
12 Aug 2026
Ready
2,3072,558 6,254,000
3 Jul 2026
Ready
4,3433,575 10,200,000
2 Jul 2026
Ready
3,9402,919 8,500,000
1 Jul 2026
Ready
2,2522,446 5,800,000
27 Mar 2026
Ready
2,6003,045 6,850,000

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

No registered sales or enough new rents in 12 months for: 5+BR apartment, 1BR villa or townhouse, 4BR villa or townhouse, 5BR villa or townhouse.

Apartments by building

Buildings in Al Thanyah Third with at least 6 registered ready sales of one apartment type in the last 12 months (2 in all; the 2 busiest here). Prices in a building can sit well above or below the area range.

BuildingTypeTypical priceSales
Vida Residences 3 & 4 - The Hills 3BR AED 4.72M – 5.5M
AED 2,852/sq ft
6
Vida Residences 1 & 2 - The Hills 2BR AED 2.8M – 3.19M
AED 2,031/sq ft
7

Ready sales in the last 12 months; price per sq ft is the median.

Check an asking price in a building →

Market trend

Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).

501001202021Q42026Q3
Ready-sale prices: 110.8 in 2026Q1New rents (Ejari): 90.4 in 2026Q3
Index figures
QuarterSale indexRent index
2026Q3—90.4(n 47)
2026Q2—88.1(n 29)
2026Q1110.8(n 13)101.8(n 31)
2025Q4103.1(n 11)97.2(n 46)
2025Q3109.3(n 10)93.3(n 54)
2025Q2104.5(n 13)98.3(n 43)
2025Q1100(n 14)100(n 36)
2024Q498.8(n 19)102.9(n 32)
2024Q390.9(n 12)94.8(n 52)
2024Q292.3(n 17)91.7(n 40)
2024Q186.2(n 15)89.1(n 46)
2023Q486.4(n 21)88.9(n 49)
2023Q378(n 16)95(n 55)
2023Q273.9(n 30)85.1(n 49)
2023Q171.9(n 20)77.8(n 38)
2022Q469.8(n 16)81.9(n 40)
2022Q368.6(n 15)76.5(n 65)
2022Q266(n 24)67.2(n 55)
2022Q163.2(n 21)66.8(n 38)
2021Q459.9(n 11)63.8(n 55)

Mix-adjusted price change: +9.9% a year over the last 12 months, +9.7% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 14, against 22 in the 6 months before.

Track record

Track record

How well have our forecasts done?

Our model, average error
13.9%
Simple median, average error
24.4%
Past predictions checked
85
Outcomes inside the 80% band
87%

On 85 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 43% lower than simply carrying forward the median price. Even so, under our conservative rule the outlook on this page uses the simple median.

An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 87%.

How we test: method.

Brokers who know Al Thanyah Third

No broker guides for Al Thanyah Third yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.

Data and licence

Source: Dubai Land Department (DLD) open data, published on data.dubai. Analysis: FairSqft. Not endorsed by the DLD or the Government of Dubai. Datasets: DLD — Real Estate Transactions (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026), DLD — Rent Contracts / Ejari (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026), DLD — Building and Property Project Records (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026). The figures on this page are derived from that data and offered under the same Dubai Open Data Licence (data.dubai), with no additional terms. Based on Dubai Land Department open data. Not a valuation, not financial advice. DLD area: Al Thanyah Third. For software and AI agents: MCP server and API.

Coverage: segments with a price range cover ≥ 80% of the area's ready sales in 12 months, with rent, at least one forecast, and off-plan at most 50% of sales (off-plan is not priced).