Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover Dubai Hills - Maple 1 send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.
Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.
By home type
3BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,250 sqft
Typical price
AED 4.54M – 4.84M
Median
AED 4.79M
Ready sales, 12 months
10
Plot (median)
2,091 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,251 sq ft
AED 4.54Mmedian AED 4.79MAED 4.84M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 10 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 216k – 260k a year, median AED 240k (43 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 3.26Mp50 AED 4.06Mp90 AED 5.3M
Central case -15.2% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
21 Aug 2026 Ready
2,092
2,251
4,670,000
12 Aug 2026 Ready
2,093
2,251
4,800,000
12 Aug 2026 Ready
2,098
2,251
4,775,000
22 Jul 2026 Ready
2,094
2,251
4,000,000
24 Jun 2026 Ready
2,091
2,251
4,275,000
31 Mar 2026 Ready
2,069
2,251
4,800,000
11 Feb 2026 Ready
2,078
2,251
4,500,000
9 Feb 2026 Ready
2,098
2,251
4,850,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
4BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,460 sqft
Typical price
AED 4.99M – 5.7M
Median
AED 5.3M
Ready sales, 12 months
13
Plot (median)
2,920 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,461 sq ft
AED 4.99Mmedian AED 5.3MAED 5.7M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 13 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 240k – 290k a year, median AED 260k (96 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 3.67Mp50 AED 4.57Mp90 AED 5.96M
Central case -13.9% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
5 Oct 2026 Ready
3,053
2,461
4,990,000
27 Aug 2026 Ready
2,172
2,406
4,995,000
24 Jun 2026 Ready
2,955
2,461
4,975,000
19 May 2026 Ready
2,177
2,406
4,400,000
12 May 2026 Ready
2,939
2,461
5,800,000
4 May 2026 Ready
2,173
2,406
4,990,000
11 Mar 2026 Ready
2,175
2,406
5,400,000
18 Feb 2026 Ready
3,018
2,461
4,000,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
5BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,730 sqft
Typical price
AED 5.61M – 6.51M
Median
AED 6.22M
Ready sales, 12 months
10
Plot (median)
3,099 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,735 sq ft
AED 5.61Mmedian AED 6.22MAED 6.51M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 10 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 280k – 325k a year, median AED 300k (49 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 4.28Mp50 AED 5.32Mp90 AED 6.95M
Central case -14.5% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
3 Sep 2026 Ready
2,995
2,735
6,250,000
20 Jul 2026 Ready
3,250
2,735
6,200,000
14 Jul 2026 Ready
2,980
2,735
5,600,000
19 Jun 2026 Ready
2,997
2,735
5,500,000
15 May 2026 Ready
3,058
2,735
6,930,000
5 May 2026 Ready
3,151
2,735
5,650,000
12 Mar 2026 Ready
3,098
2,735
6,250,000
23 Feb 2026 Ready
3,499
2,735
5,500,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
Market trend
Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).
Ready-sale prices: 105.7 in 2026Q1New rents (Ejari): 84.1 in 2026Q3Index figures
Quarter
Sale index
Rent index
2026Q3
—
84.1(n 67)
2026Q2
—
83(n 35)
2026Q1
105.7(n 11)
102.2(n 34)
2025Q4
—
99.3(n 38)
2025Q3
—
94.9(n 77)
2025Q2
—
92(n 29)
2025Q1
100(n 24)
100(n 35)
2024Q4
93.6(n 14)
99.3(n 34)
2024Q3
89.9(n 13)
93.3(n 71)
2024Q2
88.8(n 14)
92.6(n 38)
2024Q1
86(n 20)
91.9(n 42)
2023Q4
84.3(n 18)
91.9(n 54)
2023Q3
78.8(n 20)
85.5(n 80)
2023Q2
76.4(n 20)
80.3(n 42)
2023Q1
71.5(n 22)
86.7(n 39)
2022Q4
68.8(n 16)
82.9(n 50)
2022Q3
63.2(n 23)
73(n 84)
2022Q2
63.6(n 20)
62.8(n 39)
2022Q1
62.2(n 24)
47.7(n 46)
2021Q4
58.4(n 19)
58.9(n 36)
Mix-adjusted price change: -13.3% a year over the last 12 months, +2.9% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 17, against 16 in the 6 months before.
Track record
Track record
How well have our forecasts done?
Our model, average error
10.0%
Simple median, average error
28.9%
Past predictions checked
58
Outcomes inside the 80% band
91%
On 58 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 65% lower than simply carrying forward the median price.
An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 91%.
No broker guides for Dubai Hills - Maple 1 yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.
Coverage: segments with a price range cover ≥ 80% of the area's ready sales in 12 months, with rent, at least one forecast, and off-plan at most 50% of sales (off-plan is not priced).