Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover Dubai Hills - Maple 3 send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.
Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.
By home type
3BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,280 sqft
Typical price
AED 4.85M – 5.18M
Median
AED 4.95M
Ready sales, 12 months
12
Plot (median)
2,178 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,281 sq ft
AED 4.85Mmedian AED 4.95MAED 5.18M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 12 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 215k – 260k a year, median AED 230k (56 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 3.8Mp50 AED 4.73Mp90 AED 6.18M
Central case -4.4% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
15 Jul 2026 Ready
2,093
2,279
5,180,000
13 Jul 2026 Ready
2,092
2,279
4,950,000
6 Jul 2026 Ready
2,150
2,279
4,999,000
3 Jul 2026 Ready
2,174
2,281
5,400,000
10 Jun 2026 Ready
2,183
2,281
4,800,000
18 May 2026 Ready
2,180
2,281
4,500,000
15 Apr 2026 Ready
2,181
2,281
4,950,000
23 Mar 2026 Ready
2,095
2,277
5,300,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
4BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,490 sqft
Typical price
AED 5.56M – 5.9M
Median
AED 5.8M
Ready sales, 12 months
20
Plot (median)
3,037 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,491 sq ft
AED 5.56Mmedian AED 5.8MAED 5.9M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 20 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 250k – 300k a year, median AED 270k (93 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 4.39Mp50 AED 5.46Mp90 AED 7.14M
Central case -5.8% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
23 Sep 2026 Ready
2,910
2,500
5,565,000
27 Aug 2026 Ready
2,885
2,491
5,450,000
24 Aug 2026 Ready
2,260
2,447
5,350,000
21 Aug 2026 Ready
3,217
2,491
6,000,000
7 Aug 2026 Ready
2,271
2,447
5,450,000
27 Jul 2026 Ready
3,397
2,500
5,550,000
11 Jun 2026 Ready
3,381
2,500
6,100,000
1 Jun 2026 Ready
3,299
2,500
5,600,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
5BR villa or townhouse
No price range. Only 1 registered ready sale in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Rent: Only 4 new Ejari contracts in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Recent registered sales (6: 5 ready, 1 off-plan)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
16 Dec 2025 Ready
3,504
2,769
7,100,000
3 Sep 2025 Ready
3,224
2,769
5,600,000
2 Jul 2025 Ready
3,193
2,769
6,500,000
21 Feb 2025 Ready
3,439
2,769
6,475,000
20 Feb 2025 Ready
3,258
2,769
5,600,000
23 Dec 2024 Off-plan
3,101
2,769
6,400,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
Market trend
Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).
Sale index: Base quarter 2025Q1 has fewer than 10 records.
New rents (Ejari): 87 in 2026Q3Index figures
Quarter
Rent index
2026Q3
87(n 64)
2026Q2
84.5(n 34)
2026Q1
103.9(n 23)
2025Q4
99.1(n 34)
2025Q3
94.8(n 59)
2025Q2
94.1(n 36)
2025Q1
100(n 21)
2024Q4
97.5(n 26)
2024Q3
93.1(n 51)
2024Q2
90.4(n 31)
2024Q1
94.4(n 27)
2023Q4
90.7(n 26)
2023Q3
87.7(n 60)
2023Q2
81.4(n 42)
2023Q1
84.7(n 35)
2022Q4
87.5(n 16)
2022Q3
71.3(n 35)
2022Q2
64.9(n 44)
2022Q1
56.7(n 34)
2021Q4
59.9(n 22)
Mix-adjusted price change: -5.3% a year over the last 12 months, +6.0% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 17, against 16 in the 6 months before.
Track record
Track record
How well have our forecasts done?
Our model, average error
7.7%
Simple median, average error
25.8%
Past predictions checked
30
Outcomes inside the 80% band
100%
On 30 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 70% lower than simply carrying forward the median price.
An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 100%.
No broker guides for Dubai Hills - Maple 3 yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.
Coverage: segments with a price range cover ≥ 80% of the area's ready sales in 12 months, with rent, at least one forecast, and off-plan at most 50% of sales (off-plan is not priced).