Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover Lakes - Ghadeer send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.
Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.
By home type
3BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,670 sqft
Typical price
AED 7M – 8.22M
Median
AED 8.07M
Ready sales, 12 months
7
Plot (median)
4,460 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,669 sq ft
AED 7Mmedian AED 8.07MAED 8.22M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 7 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 248k – 362k a year, median AED 300k (16 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 6.59Mp50 AED 8.07Mp90 AED 11.22M
Central case 0.0% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: simple median of the last 12 months (the trend model did not beat it in the backtest); p10/p90 from backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
30 Jun 2026 Ready
4,246
3,100
8,350,000
4 May 2026 Ready
3,123
—
7,000,000
10 Feb 2026 Ready
3,328
2,440
7,000,000
28 Jan 2026 Ready
4,848
2,440
6,350,000
8 Jan 2026 Ready
5,113
2,936
8,100,000
6 Jan 2026 Ready
4,747
2,928
9,000,000
18 Nov 2025 Ready
4,494
2,928
8,075,000
6 Oct 2025 Ready
2,830
2,510
4,990,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
No registered sales or enough new rents in 12 months for: 4BR villa or townhouse, 5BR villa or townhouse.
Market trend
No index for Lakes - Ghadeer. Base quarter 2025Q1 has fewer than 10 records.
Track record
Track record
How well have our forecasts done?
Our model, average error
18.0%
Simple median, average error
29.9%
Past predictions checked
13
Outcomes inside the 80% band
69%
On 13 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 40% lower than simply carrying forward the median price. Even so, under our conservative rule the outlook on this page uses the simple median.
An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 69%.
No broker guides for Lakes - Ghadeer yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.
Coverage: segments with a price range cover ≥ 80% of the area's ready sales in 12 months, with rent, at least one forecast, and off-plan at most 50% of sales (off-plan is not priced).