The Sustainable City: home prices, rents and trend

Data as of 13 Oct 2026. Sources: DLD — Real Estate Transactions (data.dubai open data); DLD — Rent Contracts / Ejari (data.dubai open data); DLD — Building and Property Project Records (data.dubai open data). Not endorsed by the DLD or the Government of Dubai. Not a valuation. How we calculate.

Ready sales, 12 months
27
Off-plan sales, 12 months
0
New rents (Ejari), 12 months
125
Home types priced
2 of 6

Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover The Sustainable City send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.

At a glance

Home typeTypical priceRent a year
Studio apartment Abstain
0 ready sales
AED 52k – 52k
43 new leases
1BR apartment Abstain
0 ready sales
AED 69k – 77k
7 new leases
3BR villa or townhouse AED 4.25M – 4.91M
11 ready sales
AED 240k – 280k
29 new leases
4BR villa or townhouse AED 4.86M – 5.97M
16 ready sales
AED 260k – 300k
40 new leases

Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.

By home type

Studio apartment

No price range. No registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.

Rent: AED 52k – 52k a year, median AED 52k (43 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

1BR apartment

No price range. No registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.

Rent: AED 69k – 77k a year, median AED 75k (7 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

3BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈3,370 sqft

Typical price
AED 4.25M – 4.91M
Median
AED 4.75M
Ready sales, 12 months
11
Plot (median)
2,104 sq ft
Built-up (median)
3,368 sq ft

Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 11 registered ready sales in the last 12 months. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.

Rent: AED 240k – 280k a year, median AED 260k (29 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

12-month outlook

Central case 0.0% on today's median. Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: simple median of the last 12 months (the trend model did not beat it in the backtest); p10/p90 from backtest errors.

Recent registered sales (8)
DatePlot, sq ftBuilt-up, sq ftPrice, AED
24 Sep 2026
Ready
2,0973,416 4,500,000
31 Aug 2026
Ready
2,1043,368 4,750,000
25 Aug 2026
Ready
2,1053,368 3,822,346
19 Aug 2026
Ready
2,1123,368 4,850,000
16 Jul 2026
Ready
2,1203,372 4,750,000
6 May 2026
Ready
2,1033,369 4,000,000
4 May 2026
Ready
2,0723,361 4,950,000
15 Apr 2026
Ready
2,1173,396 3,900,000

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

4BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈3,800 sqft

Typical price
AED 4.86M – 5.97M
Median
AED 5M
Ready sales, 12 months
16
Plot (median)
2,335 sq ft
Built-up (median)
3,796 sq ft

Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 16 registered ready sales in the last 12 months. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.

Rent: AED 260k – 300k a year, median AED 282k (40 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

12-month outlook

Central case 0.0% on today's median. Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: simple median of the last 12 months (the trend model did not beat it in the backtest); p10/p90 from backtest errors.

Recent registered sales (8)
DatePlot, sq ftBuilt-up, sq ftPrice, AED
25 Aug 2026
Ready
2,3283,786 5,075,000
17 Aug 2026
Ready
4,6525,471 6,500,000
8 Jul 2026
Ready
2,3133,787 4,950,000
19 Jun 2026
Ready
2,3153,788 3,404,700
19 Jun 2026
Ready
2,3083,771 4,170,912
22 Apr 2026
Ready
2,3393,796 4,990,000
20 Apr 2026
Ready
4,6535,470 7,400,000
31 Mar 2026
Ready
2,3143,771 5,900,000

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

No registered sales or enough new rents in 12 months for: 2BR apartment, 5BR villa or townhouse.

Market trend

Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).

601001102021Q42026Q3
Ready-sale prices: 99.6 in 2025Q2New rents (Ejari): 102.3 in 2026Q3
Index figures
QuarterSale indexRent index
2026Q3—102.3(n 33)
2026Q2—105.8(n 27)
2026Q1—107(n 30)
2025Q4—105.1(n 38)
2025Q3—106.5(n 33)
2025Q299.6(n 16)108.5(n 24)
2025Q1100(n 22)100(n 22)
2024Q498.3(n 13)106.2(n 47)
2024Q396.8(n 11)104.4(n 51)
2024Q288.3(n 14)105.8(n 30)
2024Q1—95.7(n 31)
2023Q483.5(n 14)94.8(n 27)
2023Q382.1(n 15)95.6(n 41)
2023Q278(n 16)88.6(n 30)
2023Q173.7(n 21)78.6(n 31)
2022Q472(n 14)79.3(n 46)
2022Q373(n 27)79.9(n 42)
2022Q273.2(n 68)82.8(n 24)
2022Q173.6(n 49)75.5(n 32)
2021Q468.9(n 25)70.7(n 42)

Mix-adjusted price change: -3.1% a year over the last 12 months, +4.8% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 15, against 12 in the 6 months before.

Track record

Track record

How well have our forecasts done?

Our model, average error
9.6%
Simple median, average error
15.4%
Past predictions checked
38
Outcomes inside the 80% band
100%

On 38 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 38% lower than simply carrying forward the median price. Even so, under our conservative rule the outlook on this page uses the simple median.

An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 100%.

How we test: method.

Brokers who know The Sustainable City

No broker guides for The Sustainable City yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.

Data and licence

Source: Dubai Land Department (DLD) open data, published on data.dubai. Analysis: FairSqft. Not endorsed by the DLD or the Government of Dubai. Datasets: DLD — Real Estate Transactions (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026), DLD — Rent Contracts / Ejari (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026), DLD — Building and Property Project Records (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026). The figures on this page are derived from that data and offered under the same Dubai Open Data Licence (data.dubai), with no additional terms. Based on Dubai Land Department open data. Not a valuation, not financial advice. DLD area: Wadi Al Safa 7. For software and AI agents: MCP server and API.

Coverage: segments with a price range cover ≥ 80% of the area's ready sales in 12 months, with rent, at least one forecast, and off-plan at most 50% of sales (off-plan is not priced).