Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover The Villa send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.
Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.
By home type
4BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈4,680 sqft
Typical price
AED 7.24M – 10.52M
Median
AED 8.94M
Ready sales, 12 months
12
Plot (median)
7,238 sq ft
Built-up (median)
4,682 sq ft
AED 7.24Mmedian AED 8.94MAED 10.52M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 12 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 270k – 424k a year, median AED 322k (34 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 7.3Mp50 AED 8.94Mp90 AED 12.42M
Central case 0.0% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: simple median of the last 12 months (the trend model did not beat it in the backtest); p10/p90 from backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
9 Sep 2026 Ready
13,402
6,701
10,650,000
3 Aug 2026 Ready
8,015
5,751
9,500,000
30 Jul 2026 Ready
6,135
3,487
6,900,000
29 Apr 2026 Ready
6,135
3,487
8,800,000
9 Mar 2026 Ready
5,688
—
5,250,000
9 Feb 2026 Ready
6,126
4,984
5,825,000
3 Feb 2026 Ready
6,743
3,487
7,350,000
2 Feb 2026 Ready
11,673
5,837
10,480,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
5BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈4,200 sqft
Typical price
AED 6.17M – 8.14M
Median
AED 6.7M
Ready sales, 12 months
19
Plot (median)
6,192 sq ft
Built-up (median)
4,198 sq ft
AED 6.17Mmedian AED 6.7MAED 8.14M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 19 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 280k – 380k a year, median AED 315k (126 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 5.47Mp50 AED 6.7Mp90 AED 9.31M
Central case 0.0% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: simple median of the last 12 months (the trend model did not beat it in the backtest); p10/p90 from backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
15 Sep 2026 Ready
5,974
3,688
6,200,000
11 Sep 2026 Ready
6,674
3,781
7,250,000
7 Sep 2026 Ready
6,191
3,781
7,080,000
18 Aug 2026 Ready
10,062
4,823
12,950,000
22 May 2026 Ready
5,974
3,688
5,900,000
21 May 2026 Ready
5,974
3,688
6,050,000
15 May 2026 Ready
12,043
7,110
13,500,000
18 Mar 2026 Ready
6,039
3,688
6,298,888
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
6BR villa or townhouse
No price range. Only 1 registered ready sale in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Rent: AED 330k – 575k a year, median AED 400k (19 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
Recent registered sales (1)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
30 Dec 2025 Ready
30,341
8,392
13,000,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
7+BR villa or townhouse
No price range. Only 1 registered ready sale in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Rent: Only 1 new Ejari contract in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Recent registered sales (2)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
23 Dec 2025 Ready
7,591
4,555
9,100,000
13 Nov 2024 Ready
15,841
8,000
12,000,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
No registered sales or enough new rents in 12 months for: 3BR villa or townhouse.
Market trend
Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).
Ready-sale prices: 117.4 in 2026Q1New rents (Ejari): 96.1 in 2026Q3Index figures
Quarter
Sale index
Rent index
2026Q3
—
96.1(n 67)
2026Q2
—
112.5(n 29)
2026Q1
117.4(n 12)
115.8(n 37)
2025Q4
128.7(n 12)
99.7(n 54)
2025Q3
117.6(n 16)
94(n 59)
2025Q2
113.4(n 18)
98(n 49)
2025Q1
100(n 16)
100(n 44)
2024Q4
102.7(n 18)
101.1(n 49)
2024Q3
100.8(n 17)
99.4(n 56)
2024Q2
99.1(n 14)
96.8(n 39)
2024Q1
89.3(n 14)
86(n 43)
2023Q4
85.4(n 17)
90.9(n 46)
2023Q3
80.6(n 19)
85.8(n 66)
2023Q2
76.9(n 18)
79.1(n 52)
2023Q1
73(n 13)
73.6(n 68)
2022Q4
72.4(n 17)
73.4(n 67)
2022Q3
67.3(n 18)
67.3(n 102)
2022Q2
69.4(n 18)
70.2(n 44)
2022Q1
66.3(n 17)
64.9(n 60)
2021Q4
72.2(n 12)
62.4(n 56)
Mix-adjusted price change: +5.5% a year over the last 12 months, +12.0% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 11, against 22 in the 6 months before.
Track record
Track record
How well have our forecasts done?
Our model, average error
14.4%
Simple median, average error
30.4%
Past predictions checked
44
Outcomes inside the 80% band
71%
On 44 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 53% lower than simply carrying forward the median price. Even so, under our conservative rule the outlook on this page uses the simple median.
An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 71%.
No broker guides for The Villa yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.