Some home types in Tilal Al Ghaf have enough registered ready sales for a price range; the others say so.
Off-plan is 54% of sales here: we count it but compare prices only with ready sales.
Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover Tilal Al Ghaf send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.
Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.
By home type
3BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,140 sqft
Typical price
AED 3.65M – 4.13M
Median
AED 3.9M
Ready sales, 12 months
37
Plot (median)
1,512 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,142 sq ft
AED 3.65Mmedian AED 3.9MAED 4.13M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 37 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
42 off-plan sales were counted but not priced. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 180k – 225k a year, median AED 200k (345 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 2.52Mp50 AED 3.13Mp90 AED 4.09M
Central case -19.6% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 5 ready, 3 off-plan)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Ready
1,511
2,142
3,650,000
13 Oct 2026 Ready
1,511
2,142
3,675,000
13 Oct 2026 Ready
1,512
2,142
3,380,000
2 Oct 2026 Off-plan
1,522
2,173
4,000,000
11 Sep 2026 Ready
1,511
2,142
3,625,000
7 Sep 2026 Ready
2,547
3,375
6,300,000
4 Sep 2026 Off-plan
1,512
2,170
3,900,000
19 Aug 2026 Off-plan
1,512
2,170
3,940,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
4BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈3,380 sqft
Typical price
AED 4.45M – 6.55M
Median
AED 4.97M
Ready sales, 12 months
53
Plot (median)
2,826 sq ft
Built-up (median)
3,378 sq ft
AED 4.45Mmedian AED 4.97MAED 6.55M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 53 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
61 off-plan sales were counted but not priced. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 250k – 420k a year, median AED 315k (457 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 3.44Mp50 AED 4.29Mp90 AED 5.61M
Central case -13.8% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 4 ready, 4 off-plan)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
9 Oct 2026 Off-plan
2,859
5,011
8,000,000
7 Oct 2026 Ready
2,508
2,449
5,575,000
5 Oct 2026 Ready
2,692
3,378
6,500,000
2 Oct 2026 Off-plan
5,218
5,096
8,300,000
28 Sep 2026 Off-plan
4,080
—
8,700,000
22 Sep 2026 Ready
2,173
2,380
4,300,000
15 Sep 2026 Off-plan
2,946
3,350
7,100,000
14 Sep 2026 Ready
2,174
2,380
4,025,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
5BR villa or townhouse
No price range. Only 3 registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6. 7 off-plan sales in 12 months, which we count but do not price.
Rent: AED 350k – 850k a year, median AED 685k (98 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
Recent registered sales (8: 2 ready, 6 off-plan)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
8 Jul 2026 Off-plan
2,370
3,383
5,500,000
20 Apr 2026 Ready
2,553
3,383
6,150,000
12 Mar 2026 Off-plan
2,536
3,350
6,500,000
27 Feb 2026 Off-plan
2,464
3,349
6,435,000
26 Feb 2026 Off-plan
2,434
3,350
6,020,000
17 Feb 2026 Off-plan
2,561
3,349
5,950,000
9 Feb 2026 Off-plan
2,455
3,380
6,450,000
4 Feb 2026 Ready
2,366
3,380
6,400,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
No registered sales or enough new rents in 12 months for: 6BR villa or townhouse.
Market trend
Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).
Sale index: Base quarter 2025Q1 has fewer than 10 records.
New rents (Ejari): 90.5 in 2026Q3Index figures
Quarter
Rent index
2026Q3
90.5(n 295)
2026Q2
88.4(n 179)
2026Q1
95.6(n 186)
2025Q4
97.1(n 239)
2025Q3
96(n 316)
2025Q2
101.2(n 179)
2025Q1
100(n 133)
2024Q4
93.5(n 88)
2024Q3
99.8(n 137)
2024Q2
87.2(n 73)
2024Q1
72.2(n 143)
2023Q4
72.6(n 206)
2023Q3
73.7(n 158)
2023Q2
80(n 31)
Mix-adjusted price change: -18.7% a year over the last 12 months, +4.2% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 42, against 51 in the 6 months before.
Track record
Track record
How well have our forecasts done?
Our model, average error
12.5%
Simple median, average error
29.0%
Past predictions checked
13
Outcomes inside the 80% band
92%
On 13 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 57% lower than simply carrying forward the median price.
An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 92%.
No broker guides for Tilal Al Ghaf yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.