Some home types in Um Suqaim Third have enough registered ready sales for a price range; the others say so.
Off-plan is 72% of sales here: we count it but compare prices only with ready sales.
Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover Um Suqaim Third send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.
Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.
By home type
1BR apartment · ≈760 sqft
Typical price
AED 2M – 2.35M
Median
AED 2.15M
Ready sales, 12 months
56
Size (median)
759 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 2,710
AED 2Mmedian AED 2.15MAED 2.35M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 56 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
120 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 100k – 130k a year, median AED 117k (315 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 1.42Mp50 AED 1.76Mp90 AED 2.31M
Central case -17.9% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 5 ready, 3 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
8 Oct 2026 Ready
Al Jazi 1
750
2,000,000
6 Oct 2026 Ready
Al Jazi 1
745
1,950,000
2 Oct 2026 Ready
Asayel 3
772
2,275,000
28 Sep 2026 Off-plan
Lamaa 1
740
1,950,000
24 Sep 2026 Ready
Lamaa 1
736
2,000,000
23 Sep 2026 Off-plan
Lamaa 4
750
1,975,000
24 Aug 2026 Ready
Jadeel 2
757
2,000,000
19 Aug 2026 Off-plan
Lamaa 4
1,025
2,020,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
2BR apartment · ≈1,300 sqft
Typical price
AED 3.25M – 4M
Median
AED 3.65M
Ready sales, 12 months
43
Size (median)
1,299 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 2,932
AED 3.25Mmedian AED 3.65MAED 4M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 43 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
144 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 175k – 220k a year, median AED 190k (194 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 2.42Mp50 AED 3.02Mp90 AED 3.94M
Central case -17.4% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 4 ready, 4 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Ready
Jadeel 3
1,441
3,910,000
6 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Jomana 8
1,330
3,750,000
2 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Lamaa 4
1,677
3,500,000
30 Sep 2026 Ready
Al Jazi 2
1,117
3,400,000
30 Sep 2026 Off-plan
Lamaa 4
1,299
3,500,000
29 Sep 2026 Off-plan
Riwa Building 1
1,255
3,326,000
29 Sep 2026 Ready
Lamaa 4
1,113
3,250,000
25 Sep 2026 Ready
Lamaa 4
1,301
3,575,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
3BR apartment · ≈1,880 sqft
Typical price
AED 5M – 6M
Median
AED 5.25M
Ready sales, 12 months
13
Size (median)
1,883 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 2,754
AED 5Mmedian AED 5.25MAED 6M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 13 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
60 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 255k – 312k a year, median AED 275k (40 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 3.52Mp50 AED 4.39Mp90 AED 5.74M
Central case -16.4% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 5 ready, 3 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
8 Sep 2026 Ready
Jadeel 3
1,931
5,075,000
10 Aug 2026 Ready
Al Jazi 4
1,915
5,250,000
6 Aug 2026 Ready
Jadeel 3
1,852
5,100,000
20 Jul 2026 Off-plan
Jomana 2
2,185
5,721,000
23 Jun 2026 Ready
Asayel 1
2,192
4,415,540
4 Jun 2026 Ready
Al Jazi 4
1,852
4,800,000
15 Apr 2026 Off-plan
Lamaa 4
1,864
5,500,000
19 Mar 2026 Off-plan
Al Jazi 1
1,835
4,950,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
4BR apartment · ≈2,750 sqft
Typical price
AED 9.35M – 12.62M
Median
AED 10.5M
Ready sales, 12 months
9
Size (median)
2,748 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 3,821
AED 9.35Mmedian AED 10.5MAED 12.62M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 9 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
4 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 339k – 606k a year, median AED 408k (10 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 7.18Mp50 AED 8.95Mp90 AED 11.69M
Central case -14.8% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 7 ready, 1 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
22 Sep 2026 Ready
Jadeel 2
2,656
9,350,000
30 Jul 2026 Off-plan
Lamaa 1
3,165
7,950,000
5 May 2026 Ready
Madinat Jumeirah Living Lamtara 1
2,661
12,622,500
3 Apr 2026 Ready
Al Jazi 4
2,728
7,000,000
19 Mar 2026 Ready
Al Jazi 4
2,748
10,500,000
18 Mar 2026 Ready
Asayel 1
3,925
12,000,000
5 Mar 2026 Ready
Jadeel 2
2,393
10,420,000
18 Feb 2026 Ready
Madinat Jumeirah Living Lamtara 3
2,816
9,100,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
3BR villa or townhouse
No price range. No registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Rent: AED 176k – 300k a year, median AED 230k (27 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
Recent registered sales (2)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
2 Sep 2025 Ready
8,000
—
12,640,000
21 Oct 2024 Ready
8,000
—
7,500,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
4BR villa or townhouse
No price range. No registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Rent: AED 245k – 340k a year, median AED 290k (51 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
5BR villa or townhouse
No price range. Only 1 registered ready sale in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Rent: AED 264k – 490k a year, median AED 350k (25 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
Recent registered sales (1)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
2 Jul 2026 Ready
14,800
14,800
15,000,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
6BR villa or townhouse
No price range. No registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Rent: AED 500k – 5.35M a year, median AED 550k (7 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
No registered sales or enough new rents in 12 months for: 1BR villa or townhouse, 7+BR villa or townhouse.
Apartments by building
Buildings in Um Suqaim Third with at least 6 registered ready sales of one apartment type in the last 12 months (3 in all; the 3 busiest here). Prices in a building can sit well above or below the area range.
Building
Type
Typical price
Sales
Jadeel 3
1BR
AED 2.33M – 2.5M AED 3,159/sq ft
7
Al Jazi 2
1BR
AED 2M – 2.3M AED 2,758/sq ft
9
2BR
AED 3.02M – 3.58M AED 2,952/sq ft
7
Madinat Jumeirah Living Rahaal 2
1BR
AED 2.1M – 2.15M AED 2,619/sq ft
7
Ready sales in the last 12 months; price per sq ft is the median.
Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).
Ready-sale prices: 90.8 in 2026Q3New rents (Ejari): 85.1 in 2026Q3Index figures
Quarter
Sale index
Rent index
2026Q3
90.8(n 32)
85.1(n 226)
2026Q2
81.1(n 17)
88.8(n 126)
2026Q1
102.4(n 44)
102.7(n 146)
2025Q4
102.8(n 31)
107.3(n 156)
2025Q3
99.5(n 25)
103.1(n 152)
2025Q2
103.2(n 38)
104.7(n 103)
2025Q1
100(n 19)
100(n 85)
2024Q4
92.7(n 17)
99.3(n 131)
2024Q3
89.8(n 19)
102.6(n 125)
2024Q2
101.5(n 33)
99.6(n 89)
2024Q1
97.5(n 28)
97.5(n 95)
2023Q4
100.6(n 24)
97(n 109)
2023Q3
102.2(n 16)
97.1(n 100)
2023Q2
96.2(n 22)
99.1(n 48)
2023Q1
98.2(n 25)
98.5(n 62)
2022Q4
94(n 38)
96.3(n 80)
2022Q3
86.6(n 27)
83.9(n 86)
2022Q2
80.6(n 37)
80(n 47)
2022Q1
79.2(n 17)
79.4(n 43)
2021Q4
—
76.6(n 51)
Mix-adjusted price change: -17.6% a year over the last 12 months, -8.1% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 49, against 73 in the 6 months before.
Track record
Track record
How well have our forecasts done?
Our model, average error
9.7%
Simple median, average error
12.7%
Past predictions checked
33
Outcomes inside the 80% band
94%
On 33 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 24% lower than simply carrying forward the median price.
An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 94%.
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