Warsan First Development: home prices, rents and trend

Data as of 13 Oct 2026. Sources: DLD — Real Estate Transactions (data.dubai open data); DLD — Rent Contracts / Ejari (data.dubai open data); DLD — Building and Property Project Records (data.dubai open data). Not endorsed by the DLD or the Government of Dubai. Not a valuation. How we calculate.

Ready sales, 12 months
38
Off-plan sales, 12 months
323
New rents (Ejari), 12 months
621
Home types priced
2 of 4

Some home types in Warsan First Development have enough registered ready sales for a price range; the others say so. Off-plan is 90% of sales here: we count it but compare prices only with ready sales.

Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover Warsan First Development send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.

At a glance

Home typeTypical priceRent a year
Studio apartment AED 490k – 545k
14 ready sales
AED 40k – 47k
188 new leases
1BR apartment AED 750k – 810k
22 ready sales
AED 51k – 65k
301 new leases
2BR apartment Abstain
2 ready sales
AED 68k – 87k
116 new leases
3BR apartment Abstain
0 ready sales
AED 90k – 95k
16 new leases

Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.

By home type

Studio apartment · ≈390 sqft

Typical price
AED 490k – 545k
Median
AED 510k
Ready sales, 12 months
14
Size (median)
394 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 1,320

Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 14 registered ready sales in the last 12 months. 207 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.

Rent: AED 40k – 47k a year, median AED 44k (188 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

12-month outlook

We abstain. Not enough backtest history in this community (4 forecasts evaluated).
Recent registered sales (8: 0 ready, 8 off-plan)
DateBuildingSq ftPrice, AED
9 Oct 2026
Off-plan
Ayami Residence, By Ayat Development376 515,700
8 Oct 2026
Off-plan
Ryze by AUM391 590,932
7 Oct 2026
Off-plan
Listone Residence341 540,888
7 Oct 2026
Off-plan
Listone Residence364 474,924
28 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Ayami Residence, By Ayat Development387 539,500
23 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Listone Residence416 592,888
22 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Listone Residence381 542,888
22 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Listone Residence373 615,163

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

1BR apartment · ≈640 sqft

Typical price
AED 750k – 810k
Median
AED 775k
Ready sales, 12 months
22
Size (median)
639 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 1,214

Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 22 registered ready sales in the last 12 months. 100 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.

Rent: AED 51k – 65k a year, median AED 58k (301 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

12-month outlook

We abstain. Not enough backtest history in this community (4 forecasts evaluated).
Recent registered sales (8: 3 ready, 5 off-plan)
DateBuildingSq ftPrice, AED
7 Oct 2026
Off-plan
Ayami Residence, By Ayat Development699 891,800
1 Oct 2026
Off-plan
Ryze by AUM884 960,000
30 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Ayami Residence, By Ayat Development710 899,595
30 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Ayami Residence, By Ayat Development710 875,300
28 Sep 2026
Ready
OLIVZ RESIDENCE BLOCK 2645 740,000
28 Sep 2026
Ready
OLIVZ RESIDENCE BLOCK 1639 730,000
25 Sep 2026
Ready
OLIVZ RESIDENCE BLOCK 3632 746,000
25 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Ayami Residence, By Ayat Development732 929,300

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

2BR apartment

No price range. Only 2 registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6. 16 off-plan sales in 12 months, which we count but do not price.

Rent: AED 68k – 87k a year, median AED 78k (116 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

Recent registered sales (8: 0 ready, 8 off-plan)
DateBuildingSq ftPrice, AED
7 Oct 2026
Off-plan
Ryze by AUM1,938 1,580,661
30 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Ayami Residence, By Ayat Development1,160 1,444,270
28 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Ayami Residence, By Ayat Development1,085 1,305,899
24 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Crystal Tower1,030 1,111,935
16 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Ayami Residence, By Ayat Development1,085 1,319,094
7 Sep 2026
Off-plan
Petalz By Danube - 21,134 1,100,000
21 Aug 2026
Off-plan
Crystal Tower1,025 1,240,999
20 Aug 2026
Off-plan
Ayami Residence, By Ayat Development1,085 1,312,497

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

3BR apartment

No price range. No registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.

Rent: AED 90k – 95k a year, median AED 90k (16 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

Market trend

Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100). Sale index: Only 5 quarters with at least 10 records.

601001302021Q42026Q3
New rents (Ejari): 112.2 in 2026Q3
Index figures
QuarterRent index
2026Q3112.2(n 116)
2026Q2118.4(n 55)
2026Q1127.5(n 120)
2025Q4119.2(n 337)
2025Q3109.4(n 121)
2025Q2103.8(n 87)
2025Q1100(n 107)
2024Q4101.9(n 167)
2024Q3101.6(n 260)
2024Q295.3(n 74)
2024Q191.9(n 68)
2023Q481.4(n 56)
2023Q381.3(n 73)
2023Q281.8(n 83)
2023Q176.8(n 64)
2022Q473.8(n 65)
2022Q373.4(n 80)
2022Q270.7(n 64)
2022Q169.6(n 145)
2021Q469.2(n 191)

Mix-adjusted price change: -5.6% a year over the last 12 months, +8.3% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 15, against 23 in the 6 months before.

Track record

Track record

How well have our forecasts done?

Our model, average error
6.5%
Simple median, average error
12.0%
Past predictions checked
4
Outcomes inside the 80% band
100%

On 4 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 46% lower than simply carrying forward the median price.

An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 100%.

How we test: method.

Brokers who know Warsan First Development

No broker guides for Warsan First Development yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.

Data and licence

Source: Dubai Land Department (DLD) open data, published on data.dubai. Analysis: FairSqft. Not endorsed by the DLD or the Government of Dubai. Datasets: DLD — Real Estate Transactions (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026), DLD — Rent Contracts / Ejari (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026), DLD — Building and Property Project Records (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026). The figures on this page are derived from that data and offered under the same Dubai Open Data Licence (data.dubai), with no additional terms. Based on Dubai Land Department open data. Not a valuation, not financial advice. DLD area: Al Warsan First. For software and AI agents: MCP server and API.

Coverage: some segments priced, but not all of the above.