FairSqft

The Springs: prices, rents and 12-month outlook

Data as of 13 Oct 2026. Sources: DLD — Real Estate Transactions (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026); DLD — Rent Contracts / Ejari (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026); DLD — Building and Property Project Records (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026). This is not a formal valuation. How we calculate.

At a glance

Home typeSales (12m)MedianOutlook
2BR villa · BUA ≈1,700 sqft 203 AED 3.6M See range
3BR villa (compact) · BUA ≈2,340 sqft 95 AED 5.45M See range
3BR villa (large) · BUA ≈2,700 sqft 33 AED 6.65M See range

By home type

Segment

2BR villa · BUA ≈1,700 sqft

Typical price
AED 3.25M – 3.9M
Median
AED 3.6M
Sales, last 12 months
203
Plot (median)
2,229 sq ft
Built-up (median)
1,698 sq ft

Why this range: 203 recorded sales in this segment in the last 12 months, listed under Comparables. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot. Ready and off-plan deals are kept apart.

Rent: AED 145k – 185k a year (471 registered leases, last 12 months)

12-month outlook

Central case +3.5% on today's median. Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band; one time in ten it will land above, one in ten below. Method — trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.

Comparables (8)
DateTypePlotBuilt-upPrice
13 Oct 2026 Ready 1,845 sq ft 1,649 sq ft AED 2,950,000
5 Oct 2026 Ready 2,228 sq ft 1,694 sq ft AED 3,650,000
2 Oct 2026 Ready 1,939 sq ft 1,637 sq ft AED 3,150,000
1 Oct 2026 Ready 1,652 sq ft 1,656 sq ft AED 4,180,000
1 Oct 2026 Ready 2,696 sq ft 1,773 sq ft AED 3,550,000
30 Sep 2026 Ready 2,231 sq ft 1,637 sq ft AED 4,425,000
28 Sep 2026 Ready 4,014 sq ft 1,779 sq ft AED 4,500,000
25 Sep 2026 Ready 3,016 sq ft 1,774 sq ft AED 3,750,000

Segment

3BR villa (compact) · BUA ≈2,340 sqft

Typical price
AED 4.95M – 5.97M
Median
AED 5.45M
Sales, last 12 months
95
Plot (median)
2,881 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,342 sq ft

Why this range: 95 recorded sales in this segment in the last 12 months, listed under Comparables. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot. Ready and off-plan deals are kept apart.

Rent: AED 210k – 272k a year (275 registered leases, last 12 months)

12-month outlook

Central case +4.2% on today's median. Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band; one time in ten it will land above, one in ten below. Method — trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.

Comparables (8)
DateTypePlotBuilt-upPrice
12 Oct 2026 Ready 2,737 sq ft 2,359 sq ft AED 4,650,000
5 Oct 2026 Ready 2,770 sq ft 2,345 sq ft AED 4,900,000
2 Oct 2026 Ready 3,108 sq ft 2,215 sq ft AED 4,990,000
25 Sep 2026 Ready 3,788 sq ft 2,305 sq ft AED 5,225,000
21 Sep 2026 Ready 2,738 sq ft 2,362 sq ft AED 5,700,000
7 Sep 2026 Ready 2,745 sq ft 2,354 sq ft AED 4,800,000
7 Sep 2026 Ready 2,745 sq ft 2,349 sq ft AED 4,750,000
4 Sep 2026 Ready 2,745 sq ft 2,365 sq ft AED 5,500,000

Segment

3BR villa (large) · BUA ≈2,700 sqft

Typical price
AED 6.1M – 7.2M
Median
AED 6.65M
Sales, last 12 months
33
Plot (median)
3,802 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,704 sq ft

Why this range: 33 recorded sales in this segment in the last 12 months, listed under Comparables. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot. Ready and off-plan deals are kept apart.

Rent: AED 240k – 295k a year (110 registered leases, last 12 months)

12-month outlook

Central case +1.7% on today's median. Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band; one time in ten it will land above, one in ten below. Method — trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.

Comparables (8)
DateTypePlotBuilt-upPrice
1 Oct 2026 Ready 3,779 sq ft 2,695 sq ft AED 5,400,000
24 Jul 2026 Ready 3,760 sq ft 2,917 sq ft AED 7,200,000
21 Jul 2026 Ready 4,955 sq ft 2,747 sq ft AED 8,300,000
6 Jul 2026 Ready 3,931 sq ft 2,737 sq ft AED 6,250,000
2 Jul 2026 Ready 3,896 sq ft 2,917 sq ft AED 6,900,000
25 Jun 2026 Ready 3,846 sq ft 2,704 sq ft AED 6,750,000
19 Jun 2026 Ready 4,114 sq ft 2,740 sq ft AED 6,700,000
18 Jun 2026 Ready 2,779 sq ft 3,049 sq ft AED 6,660,000

Track record

Track record

How well have our forecasts done?

Our model, average error
17.8%
Simple median, average error
31.7%
Past predictions checked
66
Outcomes inside the 80% band
77%

On 66 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 44% lower than simply carrying forward the median price.

An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 77%.

How we test: method.

Guides from brokers who know The Springs

No broker guides published for The Springs yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.

Know The Springs? Become a Founding Expert Ask a question about The Springs