Some home types in Arabian Ranches 3 have enough registered ready sales for a price range; the others say so.
Off-plan is 58% of sales here: we count it but compare prices only with ready sales.
Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover Arabian Ranches 3 send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.
Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.
By home type
3BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,000 sqft
Typical price
AED 2.85M – 3.2M
Median
AED 3M
Ready sales, 12 months
72
Plot (median)
1,559 sq ft
Built-up (median)
1,997 sq ft
AED 2.85Mmedian AED 3MAED 3.2M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 72 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
122 off-plan sales were counted but not priced. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 140k – 165k a year, median AED 155k (669 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 2.15Mp50 AED 2.68Mp90 AED 3.5M
Central case -10.7% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 5 ready, 3 off-plan)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
12 Oct 2026 Off-plan
1,559
2,002
2,700,000
9 Oct 2026 Ready
1,559
2,051
3,000,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
1,452
2,214
3,170,000
5 Oct 2026 Ready
1,559
1,938
3,170,000
2 Oct 2026 Ready
1,455
1,935
3,100,000
1 Oct 2026 Ready
1,392
2,168
2,900,000
1 Oct 2026 Off-plan
1,548
2,213
2,815,000
1 Oct 2026 Off-plan
1,559
1,934
2,750,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
4BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,650 sqft
Typical price
AED 4.04M – 5.5M
Median
AED 4.38M
Ready sales, 12 months
60
Plot (median)
2,722 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,650 sq ft
AED 4.04Mmedian AED 4.38MAED 5.5M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 60 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
63 off-plan sales were counted but not priced. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 200k – 310k a year, median AED 250k (504 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 3.33Mp50 AED 4.15Mp90 AED 5.42M
Central case -5.1% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 6 ready, 2 off-plan)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
8 Oct 2026 Off-plan
3,085
2,416
3,800,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
2,694
2,479
4,220,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
4,197
3,101
5,800,000
5 Oct 2026 Ready
3,019
2,366
4,400,000
2 Oct 2026 Off-plan
3,254
3,101
4,990,000
29 Sep 2026 Ready
2,682
2,479
3,800,000
28 Sep 2026 Ready
2,522
2,432
4,000,000
28 Sep 2026 Ready
2,529
2,568
3,655,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
5BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈5,330 sqft
Typical price
AED 5.76M – 6.2M
Median
AED 6.1M
Ready sales, 12 months
9
Plot (median)
6,566 sq ft
Built-up (median)
5,328 sq ft
AED 5.76Mmedian AED 6.1MAED 6.2M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 9 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
7 off-plan sales were counted but not priced. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 288k – 465k a year, median AED 320k (67 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
We abstain. Only 9 registered ready sales in the last 24 months; we need at least 12.
Recent registered sales (8: 6 ready, 2 off-plan)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
3,552
3,426
5,000,000
7 Sep 2026 Ready
4,521
3,426
6,100,000
3 Sep 2026 Ready
4,521
3,426
6,175,000
6 Aug 2026 Ready
4,521
3,426
6,200,000
28 Jul 2026 Ready
4,521
3,426
5,765,000
18 Jun 2026 Off-plan
4,543
3,426
6,200,000
17 Jun 2026 Ready
4,521
3,426
5,700,000
5 May 2026 Ready
4,521
3,426
5,800,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
Market trend
Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).
Ready-sale prices: 97.3 in 2026Q3New rents (Ejari): 93.5 in 2026Q3Index figures
Quarter
Sale index
Rent index
2026Q3
97.3(n 56)
93.5(n 532)
2026Q2
101.2(n 35)
97.7(n 279)
2026Q1
106.5(n 21)
105(n 201)
2025Q4
109.8(n 23)
108.3(n 187)
2025Q3
103.6(n 22)
103.9(n 222)
2025Q2
98.9(n 23)
101.5(n 129)
2025Q1
100(n 20)
100(n 156)
2024Q4
92.8(n 15)
97.5(n 208)
2024Q3
86.4(n 18)
92.6(n 185)
2024Q2
83(n 14)
88.3(n 94)
2024Q1
—
84.4(n 101)
2023Q4
—
81.4(n 243)
2023Q3
—
82.3(n 263)
2023Q2
—
81.9(n 129)
2023Q1
—
86.5(n 50)
Mix-adjusted price change: -11.3% a year over the last 12 months, +1.6% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 92, against 49 in the 6 months before.
Track record
Track record
How well have our forecasts done?
Our model, average error
13.4%
Simple median, average error
23.8%
Past predictions checked
14
Outcomes inside the 80% band
100%
On 14 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 44% lower than simply carrying forward the median price.
An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 100%.
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