The Valley: home prices, rents and trend

Data as of 13 Oct 2026. Sources: DLD — Real Estate Transactions (data.dubai open data); DLD — Rent Contracts / Ejari (data.dubai open data); DLD — Building and Property Project Records (data.dubai open data). Not endorsed by the DLD or the Government of Dubai. Not a valuation. How we calculate.

Ready sales, 12 months
240
Off-plan sales, 12 months
859
New rents (Ejari), 12 months
739
Home types priced
2 of 3

Some home types in The Valley have enough registered ready sales for a price range; the others say so. Off-plan is 78% of sales here: we count it but compare prices only with ready sales.

Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover The Valley send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.

At a glance

Home typeTypical priceRent a year
3BR villa or townhouse AED 2.65M – 2.85M
142 ready sales
AED 130k – 140k
533 new leases
4BR villa or townhouse AED 3.35M – 3.63M
98 ready sales
AED 165k – 180k
204 new leases
5BR villa or townhouse Abstain
0 ready sales
—
2 new leases

Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.

By home type

3BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,350 sqft

Typical price
AED 2.65M – 2.85M
Median
AED 2.75M
Ready sales, 12 months
142
Plot (median)
1,873 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,347 sq ft

Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 142 registered ready sales in the last 12 months. 469 off-plan sales were counted but not priced. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.

Rent: AED 130k – 140k a year, median AED 135k (533 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

12-month outlook

We abstain. Not enough backtest history in this community (4 forecasts evaluated).
Recent registered sales (8: 3 ready, 5 off-plan)
DatePlot, sq ftBuilt-up, sq ftPrice, AED
13 Oct 2026
Off-plan
1,9042,390 2,600,000
13 Oct 2026
Off-plan
1,4832,102 2,600,000
12 Oct 2026
Off-plan
1,9392,514 2,925,888
12 Oct 2026
Off-plan
1,9462,347 2,315,000
12 Oct 2026
Off-plan
1,9382,492 2,845,810
12 Oct 2026
Ready
1,9042,014 2,550,000
9 Oct 2026
Ready
1,8731,917 2,650,000
7 Oct 2026
Ready
1,4832,102 2,735,000

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

4BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈3,550 sqft

Typical price
AED 3.35M – 3.63M
Median
AED 3.45M
Ready sales, 12 months
98
Plot (median)
3,421 sq ft
Built-up (median)
3,552 sq ft

Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 98 registered ready sales in the last 12 months. 374 off-plan sales were counted but not priced. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.

Rent: AED 165k – 180k a year, median AED 170k (204 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)

12-month outlook

We abstain. Not enough backtest history in this community (4 forecasts evaluated).
Recent registered sales (8: 3 ready, 5 off-plan)
DatePlot, sq ftBuilt-up, sq ftPrice, AED
13 Oct 2026
Ready
2,7502,263 3,400,000
12 Oct 2026
Off-plan
3,6103,755 4,728,888
9 Oct 2026
Off-plan
3,4593,544 4,100,000
6 Oct 2026
Off-plan
3,3073,544 3,920,000
5 Oct 2026
Off-plan
3,3462,698 3,431,888
5 Oct 2026
Ready
2,7722,285 3,350,000
2 Oct 2026
Off-plan
3,8923,709 4,482,888
1 Oct 2026
Ready
2,4872,621 3,500,000

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

5BR villa or townhouse

No price range. No registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6. 16 off-plan sales in 12 months, which we count but do not price.

Rent: Only 2 new Ejari contracts in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.

Recent registered sales (8: 0 ready, 8 off-plan)
DatePlot, sq ftBuilt-up, sq ftPrice, AED
28 Sep 2026
Off-plan
5,3574,548 5,050,000
24 Sep 2026
Off-plan
5,3574,548 5,050,000
23 Sep 2026
Off-plan
5,3704,548 5,000,000
20 Jul 2026
Off-plan
6,2974,977 5,944,524
8 Jun 2026
Off-plan
4,8244,843 4,650,000
4 Jun 2026
Off-plan
4,9474,843 5,450,000
2 Jun 2026
Off-plan
4,7264,541 4,660,000
22 Apr 2026
Off-plan
5,0194,879 5,451,888

From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.

Market trend

Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100). Sale index: Base quarter 2025Q1 has fewer than 10 records.

801001102024Q12026Q3
New rents (Ejari): 90.7 in 2026Q3
Index figures
QuarterRent index
2026Q390.7(n 210)
2026Q289.5(n 146)
2026Q196.3(n 196)
2025Q496.3(n 192)
2025Q395.1(n 137)
2025Q298.9(n 46)
2025Q1100(n 19)
2024Q4104.3(n 31)
2024Q390.4(n 103)
2024Q288.1(n 54)
2024Q188.5(n 10)

Mix-adjusted price change: -7.7% a year over the last 12 months, -3.2% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 102, against 138 in the 6 months before.

Track record

Track record

How well have our forecasts done?

Our model, average error
9.0%
Simple median, average error
13.2%
Past predictions checked
4
Outcomes inside the 80% band
100%

On 4 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 32% lower than simply carrying forward the median price. Even so, under our conservative rule the outlook on this page uses the simple median.

An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 100%.

How we test: method.

Brokers who know The Valley

No broker guides for The Valley yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.

Data and licence

Source: Dubai Land Department (DLD) open data, published on data.dubai. Analysis: FairSqft. Not endorsed by the DLD or the Government of Dubai. Datasets: DLD — Real Estate Transactions (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026), DLD — Rent Contracts / Ejari (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026), DLD — Building and Property Project Records (data.dubai open data) (retrieved 15 Oct 2026). The figures on this page are derived from that data and offered under the same Dubai Open Data Licence (data.dubai), with no additional terms. Based on Dubai Land Department open data. Not a valuation, not financial advice. DLD area: Al Yufrah 1. For software and AI agents: MCP server and API.

Coverage: some segments priced, but not all of the above.