Brief Battle is free during the pilot: verified brokers who cover Downtown Dubai send their best units for 72 hours and we rank them against registered deals. Few brokers have joined so far, so offers may be few. Brokers never see your contact details unless you choose an offer.
Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.
By home type
Studio apartment · ≈520 sqft
Typical price
AED 1M – 1.28M
Median
AED 1.16M
Ready sales, 12 months
74
Size (median)
518 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 2,306
AED 1Mmedian AED 1.16MAED 1.28M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 74 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
308 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 60k – 84k a year, median AED 70k (423 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 850kp50 AED 1.06Mp90 AED 1.39M
Central case -8.6% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 6 ready, 2 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Binghatti Skyblade
533
1,896,349
12 Oct 2026 Ready
Al NOUJOUM TOWER
453
740,000
12 Oct 2026 Ready
BLVD CENTRAL PODIUM
511
1,168,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
Burj Views Podium
595
941,407
30 Sep 2026 Ready
THE DUBAI MALL RESIDENCES
647
2,176,470
28 Sep 2026 Ready
THE DUBAI MALL RESIDENCES
551
2,128,000
24 Sep 2026 Ready
THE DUBAI MALL RESIDENCES
604
2,000,000
22 Sep 2026 Off-plan
IL Primo
506
2,282,888
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
1BR apartment · ≈890 sqft
Typical price
AED 1.72M – 2.4M
Median
AED 2.05M
Ready sales, 12 months
500
Size (median)
889 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 2,284
AED 1.72Mmedian AED 2.05MAED 2.4M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 500 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
251 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 100k – 130k a year, median AED 115k (2,489 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 1.45Mp50 AED 1.8Mp90 AED 2.35M
Central case -12.2% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 7 ready, 1 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Ready
REEHAN 4
980
1,940,000
13 Oct 2026 Ready
LOFTS T EAST
884
1,613,525
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
City Center Residences
757
2,050,000
12 Oct 2026 Ready
Residences_W1
1,023
2,430,000
12 Oct 2026 Ready
Burj Crown
638
2,000,000
12 Oct 2026 Ready
Dunya Tower
823
1,630,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
BD 29 BLVD T2
1,044
2,000,000
7 Oct 2026 Ready
ELITE DOWNTOWN RESIDENCE
807
1,600,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
2BR apartment · ≈1,350 sqft
Typical price
AED 2.85M – 4.3M
Median
AED 3.4M
Ready sales, 12 months
548
Size (median)
1,350 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 2,552
AED 2.85Mmedian AED 3.4MAED 4.3M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 548 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
302 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 150k – 220k a year, median AED 180k (2,060 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 2.5Mp50 AED 3.12Mp90 AED 4.08M
Central case -8.2% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 5 ready, 3 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Mercedes-Benz Places/Binghatti
1,837
8,000,000
12 Oct 2026 Off-plan
The St. Regis Residences - Tower 1
1,127
5,700,000
12 Oct 2026 Ready
Burj Khalifa
1,888
7,000,000
12 Oct 2026 Ready
The Address Residences Dubai Opera T1
1,196
6,535,000
12 Oct 2026 Ready
REEHAN 7
1,354
3,185,000
9 Oct 2026 Ready
Burj Crown
972
2,250,000
9 Oct 2026 Ready
Burj Royale
1,021
3,450,000
8 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Grande
1,305
4,100,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
3BR apartment · ≈1,950 sqft
Typical price
AED 4.3M – 7.63M
Median
AED 5.68M
Ready sales, 12 months
172
Size (median)
1,947 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 3,040
AED 4.3Mmedian AED 5.68MAED 7.63M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 172 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
100 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 235k – 350k a year, median AED 300k (643 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 4.02Mp50 AED 5Mp90 AED 6.54M
Central case -11.9% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 4 ready, 4 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
12 Oct 2026 Ready
South Ridge 1
2,102
6,130,000
9 Oct 2026 Ready
THE SIGNATURE
1,521
2,300,000
7 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Forte T2
1,533
4,350,000
7 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Act One Act Two Tower 2
1,509
5,600,000
6 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Forte T2
1,562
4,400,000
6 Oct 2026 Ready
THE RESIDENCES II - BOULEVARD VILLAS
2,605
8,000,000
6 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Mercedes-Benz Places/Binghatti
3,284
18,000,000
5 Oct 2026 Ready
Imperial Avenue
1,895
4,300,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
4BR apartment · ≈6,650 sqft
Typical price
AED 14.25M – 28.32M
Median
AED 24.48M
Ready sales, 12 months
19
Size (median)
6,650 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 3,990
AED 14.25Mmedian AED 24.48MAED 28.32M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 19 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
37 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 723k – 1.98M a year, median AED 1.5M (47 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 15.37Mp50 AED 19.13Mp90 AED 25M
Central case -21.8% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 2 ready, 6 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
29 Sep 2026 Off-plan
IL Primo
5,176
28,000,000
23 Sep 2026 Off-plan
Solara Tower Dubai
4,139
20,121,220
24 Aug 2026 Off-plan
Imperial Avenue
5,130
13,500,000
17 Aug 2026 Ready
Burj Khalifa
10,042
24,381,213
14 Aug 2026 Off-plan
The St. Regis Residences - Tower 1
6,922
28,500,000
4 Aug 2026 Ready
THE 118
6,650
25,000,000
29 Jul 2026 Off-plan
IL Primo
5,300
27,000,000
28 Jul 2026 Off-plan
IL Primo
5,300
30,000,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
5+BR apartment · ≈6,680 sqft
Typical price
AED 15.5M – 48.15M
Median
AED 22M
Ready sales, 12 months
6
Size (median)
6,679 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 3,148
AED 15.5Mmedian AED 22MAED 48.15M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 6 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
5 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: Only 5 new Ejari contracts in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
12-month outlook
p10 AED 17.5Mp50 AED 21.78Mp90 AED 28.46M
Central case -1.0% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 4 ready, 4 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
29 Jun 2026 Off-plan
IL Primo
11,333
50,000,000
29 Jun 2026 Ready
Opera Grand
3,978
11,500,000
17 Jun 2026 Off-plan
Baccarat Residence T2
9,426
53,000,000
15 Jun 2026 Off-plan
The Address Residences Dubai Opera T2
6,175
33,500,000
20 Apr 2026 Ready
RP HEIGHTS
6,310
14,000,000
23 Mar 2026 Off-plan
Baccarat Residence T1
9,537
73,000,000
29 Jan 2026 Ready
Boulevard Point
7,047
24,000,000
8 Jan 2026 Ready
Boulevard Point
4,044
20,000,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
Apartments by building
Buildings in Downtown Dubai with at least 6 registered ready sales of one apartment type in the last 12 months (48 in all; the 12 busiest here). Prices in a building can sit well above or below the area range.
Building
Type
Typical price
Sales
Burj Khalifa
1BR
AED 2.78M – 3.21M AED 2,775/sq ft
44
2BR
AED 5M – 7M AED 3,009/sq ft
53
3BR
AED 7.03M – 9.5M AED 3,525/sq ft
14
Burj Crown
1BR
AED 1.89M – 2.1M AED 3,176/sq ft
12
2BR
AED 2.26M – 2.82M AED 2,411/sq ft
26
3BR
AED 3.7M – 4.1M AED 2,912/sq ft
9
Grande
1BR
AED 2.3M – 2.65M AED 3,046/sq ft
13
2BR
AED 3.9M – 6.13M AED 4,537/sq ft
23
3BR
AED 7.01M – 8.15M AED 3,927/sq ft
10
Imperial Avenue
1BR
AED 1.57M – 2.5M AED 2,239/sq ft
18
2BR
AED 3M – 3.6M AED 2,181/sq ft
21
3BR
AED 5.09M – 5.95M AED 2,721/sq ft
6
Forte T1
2BR
AED 2.85M – 3.15M AED 2,789/sq ft
21
3BR
AED 4.95M – 5.3M AED 3,037/sq ft
13
The Address Residences Dubai Opera T2
1BR
AED 2.84M – 3.09M AED 3,609/sq ft
6
2BR
AED 3.88M – 4.3M AED 3,352/sq ft
21
3BR
AED 7.28M – 7.58M AED 4,705/sq ft
7
THE SIGNATURE
1BR
AED 1.22M – 1.4M AED 1,533/sq ft
24
2BR
AED 1.9M – 2.15M AED 1,482/sq ft
6
Boulevard Point
1BR
AED 2.11M – 2.58M AED 2,528/sq ft
14
2BR
AED 3.66M – 5.42M AED 2,769/sq ft
12
BURJ VISTA Tower 1
2BR
AED 3.25M – 4.8M AED 2,545/sq ft
15
3BR
AED 7.29M – 7.95M AED 3,837/sq ft
14
THE DUBAI MALL RESIDENCES
Studio
AED 1.93M – 2.21M AED 3,346/sq ft
12
1BR
AED 2.32M – 2.63M AED 3,080/sq ft
19
The Address Residences Dubai Opera T1
2BR
AED 4M – 4.35M AED 3,348/sq ft
23
8 BLVD WALK
1BR
AED 1.6M – 1.78M AED 1,776/sq ft
21
Ready sales in the last 12 months; price per sq ft is the median.
Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).
Ready-sale prices: 95.2 in 2026Q3New rents (Ejari): 83.5 in 2026Q3Index figures
Quarter
Sale index
Rent index
2026Q3
95.2(n 317)
83.5(n 1,969)
2026Q2
95.4(n 227)
88.3(n 981)
2026Q1
102.6(n 354)
102.9(n 1,106)
2025Q4
102.6(n 439)
103(n 1,588)
2025Q3
99.9(n 421)
98.4(n 1,637)
2025Q2
97.8(n 466)
99.4(n 1,209)
2025Q1
100(n 562)
100(n 1,306)
2024Q4
94.9(n 520)
100.8(n 1,617)
2024Q3
89.8(n 454)
93.2(n 1,434)
2024Q2
89.7(n 460)
92.8(n 1,073)
2024Q1
87.8(n 512)
93.7(n 1,296)
2023Q4
85.1(n 601)
93.8(n 1,441)
2023Q3
78.5(n 432)
89.8(n 1,166)
2023Q2
78.5(n 561)
89.2(n 846)
2023Q1
74.5(n 330)
85.5(n 956)
2022Q4
74.6(n 367)
81.3(n 1,123)
2022Q3
71.8(n 347)
76.4(n 1,099)
2022Q2
68.5(n 442)
73.7(n 801)
2022Q1
63.3(n 286)
70(n 864)
2021Q4
60.9(n 266)
63.5(n 1,242)
Mix-adjusted price change: -11.2% a year over the last 12 months, -0.8% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 557, against 762 in the 6 months before.
Track record
Track record
How well have our forecasts done?
Our model, average error
17.5%
Simple median, average error
29.3%
Past predictions checked
106
Outcomes inside the 80% band
88%
On 106 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 40% lower than simply carrying forward the median price.
An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 88%.
No broker guides for Downtown Dubai yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.
Coverage: segments with a price range cover ≥ 80% of the area's ready sales in 12 months, with rent, at least one forecast, and off-plan at most 50% of sales (off-plan is not priced).