Some home types in Dubai World Central have enough registered ready sales for a price range; the others say so.
Off-plan is 98% of sales here: we count it but compare prices only with ready sales.
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Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.
By home type
Studio apartment
No price range. No registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6. 6,208 off-plan sales in 12 months, which we count but do not price.
Recent registered sales (8: 0 ready, 8 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 5 -B
361
559,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 10 - BUILDING A
345
635,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 4-A
349
605,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 10 - BUILDING B
345
530,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 2
334
730,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 10 - BUILDING B
345
550,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Azizi Venice 16
387
751,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 8 -A
346
647,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
1BR apartment · ≈650 sqft
Typical price
AED 1.03M – 1.15M
Median
AED 1.07M
Ready sales, 12 months
6
Size (median)
650 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 1,598
AED 1.03Mmedian AED 1.07MAED 1.15M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 6 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
3,063 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 56k – 65k a year, median AED 60k (35 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
We abstain. No ready sales in the last 6 months.
Recent registered sales (8: 0 ready, 8 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Golf Point Tower 1
900
953,888
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 11
734
1,050,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 4-A
643
1,018,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 2
665
1,170,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 2
682
1,260,000
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Azizi Venice 15 - Building A
736
1,090,740
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI Venice 07 - Building B
676
1,235,000
12 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Azizi Venice 12 - Building B
733
1,200,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
2BR apartment · ≈1,210 sqft
Typical price
AED 1.44M – 1.65M
Median
AED 1.57M
Ready sales, 12 months
45
Size (median)
1,214 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 1,214
AED 1.44Mmedian AED 1.57MAED 1.65M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 45 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
1,123 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 77k – 90k a year, median AED 83k (253 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 1.16Mp50 AED 1.45Mp90 AED 1.89M
Central case -8.3% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 2 ready, 6 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Golf Trails
1,098
1,921,888
12 Oct 2026 Ready
Golf Views Block A
1,001
1,600,000
12 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Azizi Venice 12 - Building B
1,506
2,101,200
12 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 10 - BUILDING A
1,123
1,845,158
9 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Golf Trails
1,098
2,222,439
9 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI Venice 07 - Building D
1,107
2,299,000
6 Oct 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 11
1,145
1,986,499
6 Oct 2026 Ready
URBANA II STACKED HOUSE BLOCK-24
926
1,350,487
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
3BR apartment · ≈2,390 sqft
Typical price
AED 2.14M – 2.26M
Median
AED 2.21M
Ready sales, 12 months
16
Size (median)
2,387 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 932
AED 2.14Mmedian AED 2.21MAED 2.26M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 16 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
194 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 100k – 120k a year, median AED 110k (76 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 1.64Mp50 AED 2.04Mp90 AED 2.66M
Central case -8.1% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 1 ready, 7 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
1 Oct 2026 Ready
URBANA II STACKED HOUSE BLOCK-20
2,620
2,000,000
25 Sep 2026 Off-plan
Golf Hills 2
1,220
3,069,888
25 Sep 2026 Off-plan
EXPO Valley Views 05
1,826
3,469,000
21 Sep 2026 Off-plan
AZIZI VENICE 14-BUILDING E
1,561
2,493,240
15 Sep 2026 Off-plan
SOUTH SQUARE - S1
1,590
2,400,000
15 Sep 2026 Off-plan
SOUTH SQUARE - S1
1,697
2,600,000
14 Sep 2026 Off-plan
SOUTH SQUARE - S1
1,697
2,350,000
14 Sep 2026 Off-plan
SOUTH SQUARE - S1
1,590
2,350,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
4BR apartment
No price range. No registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Recent registered sales (1)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
26 May 2025 Ready
Golf Views Block A
2,592
3,000,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
3BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,420 sqft
Typical price
AED 2.15M – 2.45M
Median
AED 2.25M
Ready sales, 12 months
92
Plot (median)
1,857 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,418 sq ft
AED 2.15Mmedian AED 2.25MAED 2.45M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 92 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
157 off-plan sales were counted but not priced. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 100k – 118k a year, median AED 110k (525 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 1.71Mp50 AED 2.13Mp90 AED 2.78M
Central case -5.6% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 4 ready, 4 off-plan)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
12 Oct 2026 Off-plan
1,857
2,436
3,050,888
12 Oct 2026 Off-plan
3,007
3,384
4,025,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
1,483
1,959
2,342,500
30 Sep 2026 Ready
1,483
1,946
2,135,000
30 Sep 2026 Off-plan
3,621
3,384
4,150,000
28 Sep 2026 Off-plan
1,857
2,436
3,050,888
25 Sep 2026 Ready
1,596
2,081
2,500,000
23 Sep 2026 Ready
1,553
1,944
2,075,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
4BR villa or townhouse · BUA ≈2,770 sqft
Typical price
AED 2.99M – 3.5M
Median
AED 3.2M
Ready sales, 12 months
56
Plot (median)
3,303 sq ft
Built-up (median)
2,767 sq ft
AED 2.99Mmedian AED 3.2MAED 3.5M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 56 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
325 off-plan sales were counted but not priced. Plot, built-up area and condition move villa prices more than size alone, so we show them instead of one price per square foot.
Rent: AED 135k – 160k a year, median AED 145k (265 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 2.42Mp50 AED 3Mp90 AED 3.93M
Central case -6.1% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 2 ready, 6 off-plan)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Off-plan
3,918
4,132
5,350,000
13 Oct 2026 Ready
3,173
2,424
3,200,000
12 Oct 2026 Off-plan
3,841
4,132
5,100,000
30 Sep 2026 Off-plan
2,775
2,755
3,471,888
30 Sep 2026 Ready
3,741
2,433
3,700,000
28 Sep 2026 Off-plan
3,249
3,801
4,785,000
28 Sep 2026 Off-plan
3,902
4,132
4,950,000
25 Sep 2026 Off-plan
1,630
—
1,800,004
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
5BR villa or townhouse
No price range. No registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6. 244 off-plan sales in 12 months, which we count but do not price.
Rent: Only 1 new Ejari contract in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Recent registered sales (8: 0 ready, 8 off-plan)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
8 Oct 2026 Off-plan
3,830
4,950
5,900,000
8 Oct 2026 Off-plan
3,918
4,915
6,270,000
29 Sep 2026 Off-plan
4,023
4,934
6,350,000
25 Sep 2026 Off-plan
3,918
4,953
6,250,000
25 Sep 2026 Off-plan
5,164
4,915
6,200,000
24 Sep 2026 Off-plan
3,139
3,851
4,475,000
24 Sep 2026 Off-plan
4,521
4,953
6,150,000
24 Sep 2026 Off-plan
4,838
4,556
5,750,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
No registered sales or enough new rents in 12 months for: 2BR villa or townhouse.
Apartments by building
Buildings in Dubai World Central with at least 6 registered ready sales of one apartment type in the last 12 months (1 in all; the 1 busiest here). Prices in a building can sit well above or below the area range.
Building
Type
Typical price
Sales
Golf Views Block A
2BR
AED 1.38M – 1.54M AED 1,473/sq ft
7
Ready sales in the last 12 months; price per sq ft is the median.
Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).
Ready-sale prices: 104.1 in 2026Q3New rents (Ejari): 96 in 2026Q3Index figures
Quarter
Sale index
Rent index
2026Q3
104.1(n 32)
96(n 324)
2026Q2
106.3(n 37)
96.9(n 226)
2026Q1
109.6(n 67)
106(n 258)
2025Q4
110.1(n 83)
101.8(n 355)
2025Q3
110(n 58)
101.4(n 405)
2025Q2
103.7(n 61)
99.4(n 347)
2025Q1
100(n 48)
100(n 311)
2024Q4
100.1(n 56)
98.8(n 305)
2024Q3
88.7(n 64)
96.8(n 270)
2024Q2
81.3(n 66)
88.6(n 285)
2024Q1
75.8(n 53)
85.7(n 355)
2023Q4
71.3(n 34)
86.2(n 261)
2023Q3
66.8(n 36)
81.2(n 239)
2023Q2
62.6(n 25)
75.5(n 265)
2023Q1
59.7(n 17)
71.9(n 225)
2022Q4
58(n 13)
65.8(n 150)
2022Q3
58.3(n 13)
63.6(n 101)
2022Q2
55.1(n 15)
60.4(n 76)
2022Q1
—
62.2(n 103)
2021Q4
—
57.9(n 94)
Mix-adjusted price change: -6.4% a year over the last 12 months, +3.7% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 68, against 147 in the 6 months before.
Track record
Track record
How well have our forecasts done?
Our model, average error
16.2%
Simple median, average error
30.4%
Past predictions checked
61
Outcomes inside the 80% band
89%
On 61 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 47% lower than simply carrying forward the median price.
An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 89%.
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