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Last 12 months. Typical = the middle half of registered deals. Outlook and comparables are under each home type.
By home type
Studio apartment · ≈480 sqft
Typical price
AED 815k – 1.4M
Median
AED 1.05M
Ready sales, 12 months
140
Size (median)
477 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 2,366
AED 815kmedian AED 1.05MAED 1.4M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 140 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
18 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 55k – 74k a year, median AED 60k (699 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 880kp50 AED 1.09Mp90 AED 1.44M
Central case +4.3% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Ready
BAY CENTRAL 2
445
1,270,000
12 Oct 2026 Ready
ROYAL OCEANIC-1
565
950,000
7 Oct 2026 Ready
THE POINT TOWER
400
950,000
7 Oct 2026 Ready
ZUMURUD
370
690,000
6 Oct 2026 Ready
MARINA DIAMOND-2
418
650,000
2 Oct 2026 Ready
MARINA DIAMOND-3
446
725,000
21 Sep 2026 Ready
DEC TOWERS T3
518
750,000
14 Sep 2026 Ready
BAY CENTRAL 2
446
915,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
1BR apartment · ≈830 sqft
Typical price
AED 1.22M – 2.3M
Median
AED 1.59M
Ready sales, 12 months
753
Size (median)
830 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 1,958
AED 1.22Mmedian AED 1.59MAED 2.3M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 753 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
70 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 75k – 110k a year, median AED 90k (3,763 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 1.29Mp50 AED 1.61Mp90 AED 2.1M
Central case +1.3% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 6 ready, 2 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Ready
Marina Living
735
1,527,900
12 Oct 2026 Ready
Dubai Marina Mall Hotel
906
1,900,000
12 Oct 2026 Ready
Marina Pinnacle
761
919,790
12 Oct 2026 Ready
LIV WATERSIDE
821
2,927,400
9 Oct 2026 Off-plan
MARINA SHORES
882
1,850,000
9 Oct 2026 Off-plan
Pelagos by IGO
759
2,010,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
Marina Pinnacle
761
916,037
8 Oct 2026 Ready
LIV WATERSIDE
759
2,750,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
2BR apartment · ≈1,340 sqft
Typical price
AED 2M – 3.28M
Median
AED 2.54M
Ready sales, 12 months
560
Size (median)
1,338 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 1,823
AED 2Mmedian AED 2.54MAED 3.28M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 560 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
66 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 115k – 170k a year, median AED 140k (2,629 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 2.02Mp50 AED 2.52Mp90 AED 3.29M
Central case -1.0% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Ready
MARINA HEIGHTS 1
1,784
2,490,000
9 Oct 2026 Ready
Al Majara 3
1,401
3,700,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
THE RESIDENCE AT MARINA GATE 2
1,231
3,350,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
DORRA BAY
1,484
2,100,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
CONTINENTAL TOWER
1,231
2,050,000
7 Oct 2026 Ready
DAMAC HEIGHTS
1,723
2,852,887
7 Oct 2026 Ready
Torch Tower
1,258
1,650,000
7 Oct 2026 Ready
MAG218
1,723
1,600,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
3BR apartment · ≈2,010 sqft
Typical price
AED 3M – 5.3M
Median
AED 4M
Ready sales, 12 months
238
Size (median)
2,014 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 1,789
AED 3Mmedian AED 4MAED 5.3M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 238 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
23 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 170k – 285k a year, median AED 220k (748 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 3.12Mp50 AED 3.88Mp90 AED 5.07M
Central case -3.1% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
13 Oct 2026 Ready
EMIRATES CROWN TOWER
3,885
4,850,000
13 Oct 2026 Ready
OCEAN HEIGHTS
1,761
2,800,000
12 Oct 2026 Ready
SAHAB-2
2,471
4,262,423
9 Oct 2026 Ready
MARINA TOWER
1,854
3,615,000
9 Oct 2026 Ready
AL SEEF 1
3,554
4,557,616
9 Oct 2026 Ready
VIDA Residences Dubai Marina
1,649
6,126,000
7 Oct 2026 Ready
DAMAC HEIGHTS
1,159
2,200,000
6 Oct 2026 Ready
OCEAN HEIGHTS
847
1,500,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
4BR apartment · ≈3,070 sqft
Typical price
AED 3.2M – 7.5M
Median
AED 4.25M
Ready sales, 12 months
53
Size (median)
3,070 sq ft
Per sq ft (median)
AED 1,384
AED 3.2Mmedian AED 4.25MAED 7.5M
Why this range: the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of 53 registered ready sales in the last 12 months.
20 off-plan sales were counted but not priced.
Rent: AED 230k – 435k a year, median AED 295k (113 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
12-month outlook
p10 AED 3.77Mp50 AED 4.68Mp90 AED 6.13M
Central case +10.2% on today's median.
Eight times out of ten we expect the outcome inside the band. Method: trend v0: segment level from a robust 12-month log-price regression with a community slope, projected with damping φ=0.5 (both chosen on 2011–2019 origins only); p10/p90 from realised backtest errors.
Recent registered sales (8: 7 ready, 1 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
12 Oct 2026 Ready
Stella Maris
3,762
10,000,000
8 Oct 2026 Ready
AZURE
2,544
3,000,000
7 Oct 2026 Ready
AZURE
2,985
3,000,000
5 Oct 2026 Ready
MARINA MANSIONS
3,070
4,250,000
5 Oct 2026 Ready
Horizon Tower
2,409
2,600,000
30 Sep 2026 Ready
LA RIVIERA TOWER
3,244
4,500,000
30 Sep 2026 Ready
The Jewels T2
9,076
6,500,000
23 Sep 2026 Off-plan
Marina Cove
2,418
7,200,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
5+BR apartment
No price range. Only 5 registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6. 1 off-plan sale in 12 months, which we count but do not price.
Rent: AED 388k – 762k a year, median AED 652k (16 new Ejari contracts started in the last 12 months)
Recent registered sales (8: 7 ready, 1 off-plan)
Date
Building
Sq ft
Price, AED
12 Oct 2026 Ready
MARINA CROWN TOWER
5,458
5,150,000
30 Jun 2026 Ready
BAY CENTRAL 2
3,782
4,600,000
26 Mar 2026 Off-plan
AETERNITAS TOWER
4,048
18,333,000
9 Mar 2026 Ready
OCEAN HEIGHTS
4,498
6,859,821
10 Dec 2025 Ready
DM Yass
4,724
11,900,000
30 Oct 2025 Ready
AL SEEF 1
7,606
13,900,000
6 Oct 2025 Ready
PRINCESS TOWER
6,147
10,400,000
22 Aug 2025 Ready
MARINA HEIGHTS 1
5,702
7,500,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
3BR villa or townhouse
No price range. Only 1 registered ready sale in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Rent: Only 4 new Ejari contracts in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Recent registered sales (1)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
29 Apr 2026 Ready
4,714
—
7,000,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
6BR villa or townhouse
No price range. Only 2 registered ready sales in the last 12 months; we need at least 6.
Recent registered sales (2)
Date
Plot, sq ft
Built-up, sq ft
Price, AED
13 Jan 2026 Ready
3,620
—
7,000,000
9 Jan 2026 Ready
3,620
—
5,100,000
From the DLD open data, without unit or plot numbers.
No registered sales or enough new rents in 12 months for: 2BR villa or townhouse, 7+BR villa or townhouse.
Apartments by building
Buildings in Dubai Marina with at least 6 registered ready sales of one apartment type in the last 12 months (67 in all; the 12 busiest here). Prices in a building can sit well above or below the area range.
Building
Type
Typical price
Sales
LIV WATERSIDE
1BR
AED 2.47M – 2.69M AED 3,165/sq ft
81
2BR
AED 3.9M – 4.12M AED 3,251/sq ft
29
3BR
AED 5.17M – 5.43M AED 3,036/sq ft
11
Torch Tower
1BR
AED 1.29M – 1.45M AED 1,464/sq ft
12
2BR
AED 1.73M – 1.99M AED 1,494/sq ft
25
3BR
AED 2.71M – 2.75M AED 1,589/sq ft
6
ELITE RESIDENCE
1BR
AED 1.18M – 1.34M AED 1,541/sq ft
20
2BR
AED 1.83M – 1.95M AED 1,392/sq ft
17
DAMAC HEIGHTS
1BR
AED 1.78M – 2.26M AED 2,080/sq ft
15
2BR
AED 2.85M – 3.1M AED 1,983/sq ft
17
3BR
AED 3.5M – 3.8M AED 1,898/sq ft
9
PRINCESS TOWER
1BR
AED 1.38M – 1.52M AED 1,560/sq ft
15
2BR
AED 2M – 2.58M AED 1,688/sq ft
13
3BR
AED 2.75M – 3.35M AED 1,632/sq ft
11
LIV MARINA
1BR
AED 2.53M – 3M AED 3,415/sq ft
25
2BR
AED 3.83M – 4.41M AED 3,095/sq ft
11
CAYAN TOWER
1BR
AED 1.95M – 2.31M AED 2,348/sq ft
12
2BR
AED 2.6M – 3.04M AED 2,004/sq ft
14
Jumeirah Living Marina Gate
1BR
AED 2.4M – 3.14M AED 2,731/sq ft
16
2BR
AED 4.15M – 4.7M AED 2,980/sq ft
17
Sulafa Tower
1BR
AED 1.1M – 1.3M AED 1,334/sq ft
25
2BR
AED 1.74M – 2.09M AED 1,445/sq ft
7
Dubai Marina Mall Hotel
Studio
AED 1.61M – 1.95M AED 3,508/sq ft
14
1BR
AED 2.28M – 2.5M AED 2,762/sq ft
14
Studio One
Studio
AED 1.03M – 1.31M AED 3,164/sq ft
10
1BR
AED 1.27M – 1.62M AED 2,199/sq ft
11
2BR
AED 1.9M – 2.25M AED 2,038/sq ft
9
MARINA STAR
Studio
AED 1.38M – 1.75M AED 3,232/sq ft
12
1BR
AED 2.29M – 2.94M AED 3,020/sq ft
12
Ready sales in the last 12 months; price per sq ft is the median.
Quarterly index of ready-sale prices and new rents, adjusted for the mix of home types and sizes sold each quarter (2025Q1 = 100).
Ready-sale prices: 119.9 in 2026Q3New rents (Ejari): 86 in 2026Q3Index figures
Quarter
Sale index
Rent index
2026Q3
119.9(n 455)
86(n 2,782)
2026Q2
105.1(n 326)
89.6(n 1,368)
2026Q1
112.3(n 432)
105.3(n 1,684)
2025Q4
113.6(n 567)
102.5(n 2,071)
2025Q3
106.7(n 512)
98.9(n 2,192)
2025Q2
105.1(n 663)
96.1(n 1,662)
2025Q1
100(n 700)
100(n 1,796)
2024Q4
96.7(n 826)
99.3(n 2,192)
2024Q3
93.7(n 693)
96.8(n 2,209)
2024Q2
97.3(n 711)
95.4(n 1,609)
2024Q1
95.7(n 666)
95(n 1,869)
2023Q4
88.7(n 664)
91.5(n 2,099)
2023Q3
84.5(n 657)
87.1(n 2,087)
2023Q2
79.1(n 844)
85.6(n 1,697)
2023Q1
80.7(n 724)
83.6(n 1,800)
2022Q4
77.9(n 719)
80.3(n 2,106)
2022Q3
74.4(n 611)
75.8(n 2,176)
2022Q2
72.2(n 709)
73.1(n 1,748)
2022Q1
74.8(n 450)
68.2(n 1,838)
2021Q4
70(n 499)
63.8(n 2,358)
Mix-adjusted price change: -1.3% a year over the last 12 months, +9.3% a year over 24 months. Ready sales in the last 6 months: 792, against 960 in the 6 months before.
Track record
Track record
How well have our forecasts done?
Our model, average error
15.9%
Simple median, average error
24.3%
Past predictions checked
125
Outcomes inside the 80% band
82%
On 125 past 12-month predictions, made only with data available at the time, our model's average error was 35% lower than simply carrying forward the median price.
An honest 80% band should contain about 80% of outcomes; ours contained 82%.
No broker guides for Dubai Marina yet. Guides are written with registered brokers, signed with their BRN, and published only after they approve the final text.
Coverage: segments with a price range cover ≥ 80% of the area's ready sales in 12 months, with rent, at least one forecast, and off-plan at most 50% of sales (off-plan is not priced).